World Cup 2026: Matchday 3 Predictions and Best Bets
6 winning bets out of 8 this tournament. For the final round of group play, four plays we stand behind, starting with the Almirón edge on Paraguay vs Australia.
6 winning bets out of 8 so far this tournament. The two that got away both died at the wire: Morocco only drawing with Brazil, and Spain stalling out at six corners when we needed nine. We are not crying about it. Running it back.
Final round of group play. Every game in a group kicks off at the same time now, so some teams are leaving it all out there to survive while others coast. Here are the four we are rolling with, fun pick saved for last.
The game nobody is watching: Paraguay vs Australia
Almirón got tossed against Turkey for talking to an opponent with his hand over his mouth. New rule, straight red, suspended. So now Paraguay has to play the biggest game of its tournament without its best creator. And they have to win to go through.
Australia, meanwhile, does one thing and does it really well: defend. Low block, 28% possession against Turkey, and still won 2-0. A draw is all they need. A short-handed Paraguay forced to chase the game against a team that just wants to lock the door? Easy math.
Draw or Australia, odds 1.39. ●●●●○
Bet Draw or Australia on CrazyBet!
Morocco vs Haiti: do not watch the scoreline
You know how this one goes before kickoff. Haiti is out, zero points, parking the bus. Morocco is playing for top spot and will camp in Haiti's third all night, Hakimi firing in cross after cross.
Thing is, Morocco scores in small doses, one goal a game. So the handicap is a trap. When a team lays siege to a bus for 90 minutes, the number that actually climbs is the corner count.
Over 6.5 Morocco corners, odds 2.02. ●●●○○
Bet Morocco corners on CrazyBet
Tunisia vs Netherlands: not who wins, by how much
Tunisia already has its head on the flight home. Out, eight goals conceded in two games, a federation falling apart. The Dutch roll in off a 5-1 with first place on their minds.
The straight win pays nothing here. What pays is the margin.
Netherlands -1.5, odds 1.42. ●●●●○
Bet Netherlands -1.5 on CrazyBet!
Japan vs Sweden: the fun one
The real headliner. Japan is through but playing for top spot, Sweden has to win to grab second, and both defenses have already shipped six goals apiece. This one is opening up.
Right in the middle of that mess sits Gyökeres. A club season north of 70 goals, a Japanese back line that plays high and leaves room in behind, and a team that has to send him in to hunt. The kind of night a striker like him finds the net.
Fun pick, so keep the stake light. This is the dessert, not the meal.
Viktor Gyökeres anytime scorer, odds 2.80. ●●○○○
Take Gyökeres anytime scorer on CrazyBet!
And Norway vs France, we are staying away. Norway has already said it is rotating heavily, Haaland might start on the bench, and France at 1.69 in a game with nothing real on the line is worth nothing.
Recap
| Game | Bet | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay vs Australia | Draw or Australia | 1.39 | ●●●●○ |
| Morocco vs Haiti | Over 6.5 Morocco corners | 2.02 | ●●●○○ |
| Tunisia vs Netherlands | Netherlands -1.5 | 1.42 | ●●●●○ |
| Japan vs Sweden | Gyökeres anytime scorer | 2.80 | ●●○○○ |
None of these are locks. If they were, we would not bother with a confidence rating. Bet what you can afford to lose, nothing more.
Pull up all these odds on CrazyBet and get your bets in before kickoff. New here? The sports welcome bonus is there to get you started. Legal betting age only. Bet for fun, never to chase losses.