Wimbledon 2026 Predictions: Favourites, Odds and Our 3 Best Bets
Alcaraz is out and Sinner is the 1.50 favourite. We locked in three outright bets before a ball was struck: Sinner, Rybakina and the women's doubles. Odds, favourites and the data, right here.
Wimbledon 2026 gets underway on June 29, and Carlos Alcaraz's withdrawal has already reshaped the draw: Sinner is now the runaway favourite. When a Grand Slam starts, the trap is wanting to bet on everything. We do the opposite: three outright picks locked in before a single ball is struck, and we let them ride to the final. You can follow every match on CrazyBet across the fortnight, but our play here is the long game.
No bet is a lock, not even at 1.50. We play probabilities, never certainties.
Our 3 Wimbledon 2026 Best Bets
We bet value, not names. Here are the three, with the case for each and what could sink it.
Sinner to win at 1.50: the safest play
The most solid bet on the board, no debate. Defending champion, 20 wins and 4 losses at Wimbledon (83.3%), the best server on the ATP at 92.3% of service games held, and his only real grass-court threat, Alcaraz, is sitting this one out with a wrist injury. The fast, dry grass on the way suits his first-strike game to a tee. At 1.50 you won't get rich, but for the risk involved, nothing on the card is safer over two weeks.
What could go wrong: not a single grass-court match in 2026, and a hot opening week that could echo his physical collapse at the French Open. If he starts rusty, a big server could trouble him early. Confidence: 4/5.
Bet Sinner to win at 1.50 on CrazyBet
Rybakina at 4.50: the best value in the women's draw
Our favourite play, and her patchy form doesn't change the core case. Rybakina has the best serve in the women's game, a perfect weapon on dry, fast courts, and the best record in the draw at Wimbledon (84%). She lands only about 57% of her first serves, but the ones that go in are almost unreturnable. Add a 2-0 grass-court edge over Sabalenka and you've got the real value of the women's draw: at 4.50 for the world No. 2, you're paying for doubts about her form, not her level.
The catch: that same up-and-down grass form (third round at Wimbledon in 2025, second round in Berlin this year against Eala), and a Sabalenka who's still world No. 1 despite the wobbles. Confidence: 4/5.
Back Elena Rybakina at 4.50 on CrazyBet
Siniakova/Townsend at 2.50: the safest doubles bet
Here we're not chasing a big price, we're taking the team that's run the tour since January. Katerina Siniakova, the doubles world No. 1, and Taylor Townsend, No. 2, are the best pairing of 2026: titles at Indian Wells, Miami and Madrid, three WTA 1000s in a row, then the French Open crown in early June over Danilina and Krunic (6-2, 7-5). Seven titles together since they teamed up in 2024, including three Grand Slams.
And above all, they've already won here, back in 2024. Townsend's profile, a lefty with a heavy serve and a sharp net game, is tailor-made for fast grass where points end quickly. Siniakova, for her part, already owns three Wimbledon doubles titles (2018, 2022, 2024). At 2.50 it won't make you rich, but it's the safest of the three on paper.
The risk: doubles is best-of-three sets, so nothing is ever locked. A pair catching fire on the right night, like Danilina and Krunic or Errani and Paolini (the 2025 French Open champions), can run them close. Confidence: 4/5.
Follow Siniakova/Townsend in the women's doubles at 2.50 on CrazyBet
The context: Alcaraz out, fast and dry grass
Carlos Alcaraz, the two-time defending champion (2023 and 2024), withdrew on May 19 with a right-wrist injury. It's his first Wimbledon absence since 2020, and it makes Sinner the runaway favourite. The tournament runs from June 29 to July 12, 2026 at the All England Club in London, with record prize money of £64.2 million (about C$112 million).
As for conditions, the opening week looks hot and dry, with a feels-like around 29°C, in line with the record 34°C reached in 2025. Dry grass plays faster and lower: the ball skids through and the bounce stays flat. That favours big servers and flat hitters, and leaves less room for defensive baseliners.
The other favourites
On the men's side, Novak Djokovic (5.50) is the main threat: seven titles here and a semifinalist last year, but no grass-court prep in 2026 and 39 years on the clock. Alexander Zverev (9.00) comes off a Halle semifinal (beaten by Fritz) with a big serve, but he's never gone past the quarters in London and converts only 28.9% of his break points.
On the women's side, Aryna Sabalenka (3.70) is the bookmakers' favourite, with the best service-hold rate on the WTA (86.6%). But she's coming off a flat Berlin semifinal, swept aside by Pegula with a 6-0 deciding set, and she's still never won Wimbledon. Iga Swiatek (6.50), the suffocating 2025 champion (6-0, 6-0 in the final), is in an uneven season, and grass was long her weakest surface: that 2025 title is still her only tour-level trophy on the lawns.